DEMAND & SUPPLY

Demand

It is the quantity of a good or service that customers are  willing and able to purchase during a specified period under a  given set of economic conditions.
Conditions to be considered include the price of the good  in question, prices and availability of related goods,  expectations of price changes, consumer incomes, consumer  tastes and preferences, advertising expenditures, and so on.
The amount of the product that consumers are prepared  to purchase, its demand, depends on all these factors.

Demand Schedule

Law of Demand – there is an inverse relationship between price and  quantity demanded.

as the quantity demanded rises, the price falls
as the price rises, the quantity demanded falls
as income rises, the demand for the product rises
as supply rises, the demand falls

Elasticity

Elasticity is a central concept in the theory of supply and  demand.
In this context, elasticity refers to how supply and  demand respond to various factors, including price as well as  other stochastic principles.
One way to define elasticity is the percentage change in  one variable divided by the percentage change in another variable.

Concept of Elasticity

Price Elasticity of Demand
Income Elasticity of Demand  
Cross Elasticity of Demand

1. Price Elasticity of Demand
Price elasticity of demand is the change in quantity of a  commodity demanded to the change in its price.
The degree of change in the demand of different  commodities due to change in the price of the commodities may  vary.
In certain cases, the changes in demand may be at  higher rates.
Price elasticity of demand= Percentage change in quantity demanded/ Percentage change in price

2. Income Elasticity of Demand
Income Elasticity of demand is the degree of the responsiveness of demand to the change in income.
The income elasticity of demand is a measure of the  extent to which the demand for a good changes when income  changes, other things remaining the same.
Income elasticity of demand= Percentage change in quantity demanded / Percentage change in income.

3. Cross Elasticity of Demand
The responsiveness of demand to change in prices of  related goods is called cross elasticity of demand (related goods  may be substitutes or complementary goods).
In other words, it is the responsiveness of demand for  commodity X to the change in the price of commodity Y.
Cross elasticity of demand=  Percentage change in quantity demanded of a good./ Percentage change in price of one  of its substitutes or complement

Elasticity Demand

Elastic  
Inelastic 
Unitary
1. Elastic Demand
An  elastic  demand  is  one  in  which  the  change  in  quantity demanded due to a change in price is large.

2. Inelastic Demand
An economic term used to describe the situation in which  the supply and demand for a good or service are unaffected  when the price of that good or service changes.
The most famous example of relatively inelastic  demand is that for gasoline.
As the price of gasoline increases, the quantity demanded  doesn’t decrease all that much.
This is because there are very few good substitutes for  gasoline and consumers are still willing to buy it even at  relatively high prices.

3. Unitary elastic
If  the  elasticity  coefficient  is  equal to  one,  demand  is unitarily elastic as shown in below figure.
For example, a 10% quantity change divided by 10 % price  change is one. This means that a one percent change in quantity  occurs for every one percent change in price.

3. Unitary elastic (Example)
Consider a situation in which milk costs Rs. 10 per liter.  A grocer notices that he is not selling as much milk as he  would like, so he puts the milk on sale, dropping the price to Rs. 7 per liter.
With unitary elasticity, the number of sales would double  because the price was cut in half.
So if the grocer would sell 100 liter of milk at Rs. 10, that  would lead to revenues of Rs. 1,200.
Cutting the price to Rs. 7 would then yield sales of 200  liter, still leading to revenues of Rs. 1,200 .

Determinants of Demand

Changes of Income
Changes of Taste or Preferences
Changes of Prices of Related Goods  
Changes of Price Expectations
Changes of Size of Population

Look at the relationship between the quantity demanded and  each of the determinants in turn – separately – price quantity relationship in the demand curve….

Factors Affecting Elasticity Of Demand

1.Availability of Substitutes
2.Postponement of Consumption
3.Proportion of Expenditure
4.Nature of the Commodity
5.Different Uses of the Commodity
6.Change in Income
7.Habits
8.Distribution of Income
9.Price Level

DEMAND FORECASTING

Demand  forecasting  is  the  activity  of  estimating  the  quantity of a product or service that consumers will purchase.
Demand  forecasting  involves  techniques  including  both  informal methods,
a)such as educated guesses, and quantitative methods,
b)such as the use of historical sales data or current data  from test markets.

Necessity for forecasting demand
Often forecasting demand is confused with forecasting  sales.
But, failing to forecast demand ignores two important  phenomena.
There is a lot of debate in demand-planning literature  about how to measure and represent historical demand, since  the historical demand forms the basis of forecasting.
The main question is whether we should use the history  of outbound shipments or customer orders or a combination of  the two as proxy for the demand.

Demand Forecasting Methods

Concept of Supply

Supply is defined as the quantity of a product that a  producer is willing and able to supply onto the market at a  given price in a given time period.Note: Throughout this study companion, the terms firm,  business, producer and seller have the same meaning.
Supply is the amount of a good that producers are willing  and able to offer for sale at various price.

The law of Supply

All else equal, the quantity supplied is positively related  to price.
Increase in Prices  Increase in quantity supplied
Increase in Prices Increase in quantity supplied
The law of supply explains that if people are willing to pay more money for a product, a company will produce or manufacturemoreof that product to capitalize on the increased revenue.
The opposite also holds true that as the price of a  product drops, a company is likely to manufacture less of  that product.
In  fact,  if  sales  drop  too  far,  the  company  may  discontinue the product altogether.

Determinants of Supply
•Market price
•Input prices
•Technology (new production methods)
•Expectations Number of producers

Equilibrium of Supply and Demand
A situation in which the supply of an item is exactly equal to its  demand. Since there is neither surplus nor shortage in the market,  price tends to remain stable in this situation.